MC 2009-06-22 and Famitsu 2009-06-15: Things of Note


Based on the latest Famitsu hardware numbers...
PSP comparisons: After 237 weeks, PSP is where PS2 was at 191.1 weeks (October 26, 2003), where DS was at 102.2 weeks (November 13, 2006), and where GBA was at 160.1 weeks (April 12, 2004).

X360 comparisons: After 185 weeks, X360 is where GCN was at 17.3 weeks (January 8, 2002), where PS3 was at 38.6 weeks (August 2, 2007), and where Wii was at 5.6 weeks (January 4, 2007).

PS3 comparisons: After 137 weeks, PS3 is where PS2 was at 45.9 weeks (January 13, 2001), where PSP was at 68.9 weeks (April 1, 2006), where GCN was at 126.5 weeks (February 12, 2004), and where Wii was at 35.7 weeks (August 3, 2007).

Wii comparisons: After 134 weeks, Wii is where GBA was at 99.1 weeks (February 10, 2003), where DS was at 77.2 weeks (May 22, 2006), where PS2 was at 116.6 weeks (May 24, 2002), and where PSP was at 167.7 weeks (February 22, 2008).

DSi comparisons: After 34 weeks, DSi is where GBASP was at 46.8 weeks (January 2, 2004) and where DSL was at 16.8 weeks (June 24, 2006).

Based on the latest Media Create hardware numbers...
DS vs PSP: Weekly shares of 62.9 / 37.1 bring total shares to 68.2 / 31.8. If DS stopped selling and PSP continued at this week's rate, it would catch up in 534.5 weeks (September 26, 2019).

X360 vs PS3: Weekly shares of 33.8 / 66.2 bring total shares to 24.8 / 75.2. If PS3 stopped selling and X360 continued at this week's rate, it would catch up in 373.5 weeks (August 25, 2016).

PS3 vs Wii: Weekly shares of 34.2 / 65.8 are the best Wii has done relative to PS3 since the first week of the year. These bring total shares to 28.4 / 71.6. If Wii stopped selling and PS3 continued at this week's rate, it would catch up in 432.2 weeks (October 10, 2017).

Week over week, there's no uniformity in up and down, and Wii is the only one to change by more than 10%.

Through the first twenty-six weeks of the year, overall sales are down. However, the systems can be split into camps of 3 up and 3 down. Here's how the year-to-date year-over-year percents stand as of now.

Wii: -63.4%
DSL+DSi: +2.6%
PS2: -49.7%
PS3: +7.0%
PSP: -45.6%
X360: +216.7%

Home hardware: -39.1%
Portable hardware: -24.9%
Sum of all hardware: -30.7%

Last year:

This year:

So with Media Create we now have 26 sales weeks of 2009. Usually this would be the clear end of one half of the year, and while 2009 is an odd 53-week year, it's still about as close as we get. So I'm returning to a comparison I did a few times earlier in the year but haven't in a few months. This looks at the first 26 weeks of each DS-and-later system for each year, to see how things are stacking up not just in comparison with each other this year, but with each others in previous years.

DS 2007: 3,971,518
DS 2006: 3,546,051
PSP 2008: 2,135,961
Wii 2007: 1,954,852
Wii 2008: 1,699,410
DS 2009: 1,656,077
DS 2008: 1,613,620
PSP 2009: 1,161,825
PSP 2007: 1,083,147
DS 2005: 1,071,450
PSP 2005: 1,000,071
PSP 2006: 920,939
Wii 2009: 622,169
PS3 2009: 589,937
PS3 2008: 551,318
PS3 2007: 492,931
X360 2009: 229,608
X360 2007: 118,583
X360 2008: 72,509
X360 2006: 56,961

No surprise that DS's craziest two years take the top two spots. X360 takes the bottom spots, and PS3 takes the bottom-except-for-X360 spots. In between those extremes is a mish-mash of PSP, DS, and Wii.

Looking at this year's numbers in particular, we can see that X360 has by far its best start. PS3 has by little its best start. PSP and DS are middling, neither the best or worst among their historical performances. Wii is quite low, not only being the worst Wii start by far, but also the worst first 26 weeks for anything that isn't an HD console.

Famitsu Software Stuff

As the big two leggy games of late 2007/early 2008, it's been noticed that Monster Hunter Portable 2G is slowly catching up to Wii Fit. It was actually ahead at one point, but then its legs slowed down until the Best rerelease. Anyway, as long as I was looking at a couple titles in that range, I noticed there were a few more even older titles in the same area. They show up lower and more infrequently on the charts anymore, so both Mario Kart DS and Wii Sports could end up topped by Wii Fit and Monster Hunter 2G by the end of the year.

Speaking of long-time leggy games, it appears that Taiko no Tatsujin Wii has recently passed up both DS games. However, since they don't show up on a weekly basis but seem to get nice boosts whenever they do show up there or on a large Top X list, it's quite likely they're both actually still ahead. The last time I brought up these three I said it looked like they were going to meet around 600K. Still sounds about right.


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